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Dec. 5, 2023, 5:11 a.m.
No, China Is Not Intervening in Myanmar's Civil War
No, China Is Not Intervening in Myanmar's Civil War
['Myanmar', 'China', 'ethnic', 'border', 'groups']

Contrary to some speculation, Beijing is not supporting the ongoing rebel offensive in Shan State.

No, China Is Not Intervening in Myanmar's Civil War

In late October, three ethnic rebel groups in Myanmar known as the Three Brotherhood Alliance - Kokang's Myanmar National Democratic Alliance Army, the Ta'ang National Liberation Army, and the Arakan Army, initiated Operation 1027 against the junta. China must closely monitor the ongoing fight in northern Myanmar and take preventive actions to avoid air strikes and minimize the risk of Chinese casualties. China has consistently pursued a policy of non-interference in Myanmar's internal affairs and has never intervened militarily in the ethnic conflicts in Myanmar. Finally, China deems it unworthy to interfere in the civil war in Myanmar, as doing so could result in the loss of trade and investment and undermine cordial relations with Myanmar. Given that the trade volume from Yunnan to northern Myanmar constitutes half of the trade share between China and Myanmar, both sides would incur significant economic losses if border trade were to be suspended due to the civil war in Myanmar. China aims to avoid interfering in the civil war in Myanmar to quell the growing wave of anti-Chinese sentiments in the country. To conclude, China is more a victim than a beneficiary of the current ethnic conflicts in northern Myanmar.

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